The Impact of Climate Change on Evapotranspiration and Flow in a Major Basin in Northern Mexico

Climate defines the hydrological cycle of each region and climate change will undoubtedly affect recharge processes world’s water tables resources currently available at basin microbasin scale. The objective present paper is to evaluate future changes in evapotranspiration flows from Sardinas River North Durango, Mexico. Rural Genius Model (GR2M) an aggregated monthly model, which used reconstruct precipitation by applying two functions: a production function transfer function. A has been under four shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (126, 245, 370, 585). Pettitt Mann–Kendall statistical tests were determine trends, identified breakpoint flow time series. Results showed that scenarios, shows increase over time. Under scenario, SSP 126, application test series show increasing trend with break May for 2090, mean 1658 mm before 2238 after break, excess 34.98%. 245 scenario predicts 1703.11 2090 horizon, 1624 2168 mm, respectively, 33.49%. 370 expected be 1710.81 means 1633 2166 32.63%. 585, 1701.43 occur 1628 2132 after, 30.95%. results this study can basis decision-makers better management protection northern